Firefox 7 is released

The new one is by a noticeable margin faster than the 6.Good job,Mozilla-team.:)

Download Firefox 7 EN-version & infos

I did de-install the privious version via CC Cleaner before i did install the new one and just prefer this way instead of just updating to avoid data rubbish.

Gold & Silver price is dropping significant

N-TV.de

"When everyone is betting on the same story it will almost always go wrong."
Andre' Kostolany

Danny loves mathematics

Games like this one are making our son asking for maths right after he got up.:)

Funnylearn-Selling lemonade

How to make profit during a currency reform

When the inflation takes over it is important to invest in material property.Stocks do count to material property and did lead investors with a remarkable gain trough the two rough German currency reforms.Buy particular stocks of BMW,BASF,Linde,MAN,VW&Bayersdorf-No banks.:)Additional recommendation-spread your capital over conservative cooperations of high price stability and price power.

We are going to wait as long as we can to get the stocks even cheaper and will invest as soon as the €uro will finally break apart to save our cash.:)
This Article-Waerungsreformen 1923&1948 will proof the competence behind my advice.

Google Translate will help you to read this very important text in your preferred language.:)

Ten years Dow Jones chart

Just to display the possible loss potential down from 10700 points where the index is right now.The chart shows in my opinion that we aren't even half through the bearish market yet.

Erste Bankenpleiten in Deutschland nun absehbar

Welt.de

N-TV.de

Bad future for the Dow Jones Future

Stocks will get a lot cheaper today,no doubt about that.:)

As predicted the German market and some indices at 4pm.:

The first pre market DAX quotes today

Ouch!

For luck we aren't invested.:)
In fact i'm waiting for the bottom of this coming sell-off to make some fast $$$ again.It seems it's getting more and more risky to trade in the bearish markets,exempt puts.:(
Right yesterday S&P downgraded seven! Italian banks-(Source Wirtschaftswoche),but also Bank of America,Wells Fargo and Citigroup received downgrading by Standard & Poors.:(

Free business consultancy for our motorbike dealer

In Asia are a lot of connections among business people made in the noodle soup kitchen,many newcomers don't know that.:)
This morning we was sitting together with the branch manager and owner of the local Yamaha shop.He was disappointed about the sell numbers.We talked further and i introduced him a advertisement concept and pronounced the importance of promotion itself.
The diligent and friendly businessman was speechless and asked after i finished the last sentence to join him on his next trip to the capital to talk to the big boss.:-)

Our life in Cambodia was never boring since we arrived.:-)

Danny's reading exercise for this morning

Daniel is improving further in reading.This clause took him seven minutes with a bit of help for the most difficult words.
We still stick to the principle to let him decide about the topic he likes to read about.:)

Wikipedia-Ben10

Austrian banks in difficulties"...die Oesterreich an den Rande des Ruins bringen koennten."

Quelle Kopp Verlag

Because of news like that we decided a month ago to transfer remaining assets in a Austrian bank to our German discount broker.:(

Lufthansa:Strong decrease in costumers ahead

For 2012 is a high loss on passengers predicted.Particular the EU Airlines are seeing rough times ahead.Their gain for 2012 is guessed at 300 mio €,down from 1,4 billion in 2011!!!
Such a drop in passengers is alarming for anyone involved in tourism wherever in the world.That means also likely hard times ahead for the tourism businesses in the Kingdom of wonder.:-(

Boerse online-Lufthansa's earning warning

My suggestion:Use Google translate to interpret any foreign language text into your preferred language.:)

A 4% jump in 30 minutes-The VW Wave put

The VW put is a good choice to make some $$$ today:

The spread and order fees needs to be of course excluded in this daytrading gain calculation:

Recommendation-Buy your new notebook in Sihanouk Ville while beeing here on holiday

The prices are very,very cheap and i strongly suggest to buy your new notebook here before your holiday is over.:)
In Sihanouk Ville are plenty of PC-shops along the main street.We have best experiences with "PC Peanich Computer/ pc_peanich@yahoo.com" opposite the Shell gas station,where we did buy our one three months ago.
The tread-A new notebook
I did compare the prices with Germany via Idealo.de and did find out that we saved around 30% to a comparable equipped Acer in Germany(Our model 4738 isn't available there).A price difference of around 40% was the case for the U.S. after checking prices on Ebay.com.

By the way,i did talk a few weeks ago to a couple from Siberia who followed my first suggestion of the "The new notebook" tread and did buy their new Toshiba in Sihanouk Ville.The both where very happy about their decision and appreciated the advice.:)

The VW Wave Put today

11% plus right now:

I took a day off but still could make $$$ today.:)

The underlying is holding on the last straw:

Aspect the worst for today

As predicted last week the rally seems to be over.
A screenshot of the first minute DAX pre-market:

The bulls are going to leave the markets in herds and we will imo continue in the usual crisis mode.
I'm about to watch today's scenario and will stay away of the markets,at least for the present day.

Pop Peeper Email Notifier

We are using this notifier since quite a while.We have all together 3 accounts to check frequently what is done by the Pop Peeper in once for all with a adjustable repeat rate.

Download the free Pop Peeper here

Life is a journey

China says as far as we can...

we'll take responsibility for the world economy but even our state investment fond is suggesting to be very careful about bonds of EU countries.

The CEO of the Construction Bank is estimating China's potential as limited to pull the western countries out of crisis because Chinas part on the world economy is only at 9.5% in relation to 60% of the US and Europe together.

Ooops!

Boerse-Go

BMW on cobblestone pavement

What a bumpy ride:

High volatile markets are ahead tomorrow because of the expiration day of future contracts at the derivative stock exchanges.A sidewards trend is the best what i can foresee for the stocks right now.Therefore would be space upt to 57,66€ in my opinion.
The lower end would be around 50€,so i hope for strong dropping quotes at tomorrows expiration day.:)

The current little rally could be over pretty soon.

No bad news today,lets buy stocks

Was quite surprising yesterday how the markets went up after the Chinese agreed to support Europe under certain conditions.This kind of "political stockmarket" is unfortunately hard to predict.:(
In the meantime the CDS for Greece 5 year bonds did rise another 24,66% yesterday according to the blog of Mr. Gaertner.
That is just all peanuts when the greed wins over sanity and the coming day is looking again promising up to now.Because of that did BMW stocks and myself become thick friends again since yesterday and we'll probably stick together at least for a little while during daytrading activities:)
BMW up to now in the pre-market:

Die Steuergelder der Untertanen bei der Arbeit

Eine weitere Betrugsaffaere im EU Parlament und der dritte Oesterreicher dieses Jahr,der sich dort kriminell betaetigte:

EU Parlamentarier wegen Betrugs angezeigt

VW-Put & Underlying right next to each other

Easy to recognize that they aren't moving 100% syncronal to each other by the leverage of 2 as in the information about the warrant mentioned.A Derivative haves the habit to get in move while larger changes of the underlying,not necessarily 1:1 X leverage.
My particular choice,the introduced VW Wave unlimited Put is in fact over average sensitive and quite easy to estimate.:)

My common mistake-Sold to early!!!

Man,that job makes nervous.:)
I guess the warrant will even go further today but i wasn't able to get over myself and buy again.

Just a few minutes later!

That means i missed nearly another 4% just by a few minutes.:(

Anyway,was a hell of trade so early in the afternoon local time and i can afford the gas now for a sunshine ride with the family.:-)

Sold for 5.34€

More than 5% in less than 90 minutes.:)

"Employ the time well if you intent to get leisure"
Benjamin Franklin

VW Put intraday

The mentioned put is behaving very predictable up to now.According to my strategy in the privious posting i did buy the put at 5.07€.:)

Volkswagen made it back above 100€ for a short while

The trading computers bought them up from 99.50€ yesterday.This chart should display the limited potential up to 106€ when keeping the current trend in mind.

My personal target quote to buy the recommended warrant again would be in this context as soon as the underlaying VW starts dropping again around this estimated quote.:)

What a nasty morning!

Take a look at the banks & Allianz first:

VW made it over the 100€ again,BMW still back over 50€.Worth to mention today is imho also Heidelberger Cement below 26,good job guys.:-)

Volkswagen VZ Wave unlimited Put

Now finally after seeing fist pre-market quotes just one suggestion for experienced stock traders to participate and go short:
A interesting Volkswagen Put:

Money maker Put Vokswagen
The underlaying in the pre-market:

I could specialize in Derivative Instruments recommendations but just analyse the underlying itself included related markets in favour to newcomers.
To trade puts is the logical consequence of making decisions into opportunities in a falling market after learning a lot about it in advance.

This is no recommendation,particular for market novices as warrants are to volatile and risky for newcomers and even more knowledge and fast actions are required.


"The ice hockey players started with learning skating as well.:)"

The WLI is showing scary signs for the US economy

Looks like a double dip to me but...

The stockmarkets are likely in fullstall next week

To fly a fullstall with the paraglider requires guts and abilities.
The first is to short the steering lines by wrapping them a couple of times around the hands.At next you pull the brakes below the a.. and wait for the wing to collapse in a impressive way like seen above until the wing ends are touching each other in a circle.To survive this acro figure it's urgently necessary to wait until the wing is above the pilots head before ending the full-stall again while the break lines are still held down at the lowest.
At next while falling from the sky like a rock from a cliff while the wing is bashing around over you it's about time to fore-fill the canopy by slowly rising the breaks up to shoulder level,while the wings behaviour is critical watched.Once the canopy opened properly again and remains over the head the last remaining quarter of the steering lines gets finally released.If the wing remains in a open stall mode just push the A-lines to get the wing back in usual flight stage and consider yourself among a small minority of pilots who ever tried that in real.:-)

The markets are next week very,very close to a fullstall and to be honest i doubt that the responsibles in politics on the dept crisis steering lines are having the guts nor the abilities to fly this demanding and spectacular manoeuvre without crashing the markets at the end by falling into the forward shooting canopy because of releasing the breaks to soon before the wing was back over the head.That will increase the drop speed significant.
Check out this DAX chart:

The stockmarkets are these days at least as exiting as a little fullstall in the afternoon at cloudbase >2500m.:)

Danny's new favorite mathematics game

The page is by choice on top of the webside available in English as well.:)

Rechnen mit dem Zwanzigerfeld

UBS:Buergerkrieg bei €uro-Crash!

Quelle

Der Garantiezins fuer Lebensversicherungen sinkt auf 1,75%

Schade,das wir nie sowas unterschrieben haben.:))

Die letzte Schlacht der Lebensversicherer

Die EUDSSR ist nicht mehr weit

Die Welt-Die verborgenen Ziele der €uro Rettung

Wie unser Nachbar gestern schon gesagt hat:

"We'll see a lot of s.. hit the fan,just stay here."

Selbstverstaendlich werden wir den wie Hans Olaf Henkel kuerzlich sagte "unaufhaltsamen Marsch der Lemminge" von hier aus gespannt weiterverfolgen und den schrittweisen Uebergang in das diktatorische Grossreich "EU" (Entmuendigte Untertanen) fuer die Nachwelt dokumentieren,mehr bleibt uns ja eh nicht uebrig.:(

Our social life in Cambodia

Some impressions:

After arriving to the noodle soup kitchen this morning we did talk to the German speaking Cambodian Gentleman for like an hour.:)

Arriving at the grocery store on the way back home i had a conversation with a nice retired Gentleman from B.C.-Canada and expat as well while the family was shopping.We did talk mainly about stocks and his time as active trader during the Dot.com boom.:)

Around 1pm. we got invited by our neighbour and talked mainly about politics as he is a retired highly educated university lecturer and English teacher,also proud owner of a well sorted personal library.
At 2pm i did pull out the notebook and just impressed him a bit while *paper-trading BMW(Made 0.6% within 3 min. right in front of his eyes).:)
In real i wouldn't had bought any stocks for obvious reasons when seeing the whole picture,of course i also mentioned that.

He did leave the house right before and suggested me to become a fond manager,wow.

The mentioned paper-trade with BMW:

*(Theoretical trading to gain experience,try the own strike quote,impress neighbours and so on but also absolute essential to become a successful and safe market participant in the first place.)

"...,um den Totalbankrott Deutschlands zu verhindern."

Ein nicht ganz so geheimes "Geheimpapier":

MM News-Analysiert Deutschland Euro-Austritt?

DAX expectations for next week

This chart leaves likely plenty of time for "extreme beaching" next week.:(

The precise prediction of today's sell-off

Right yesterday at 5 pm. German time i did post in the comment section of Mr.Gaertner about the approaching sell-wave once the expectations like mine in Thyssen will get disappointed.
The DAX right now:

My personal focus is pretty much only on the DAX,that means after watching only one market realtime for a long period of time enables me to predict moves with a very low failure rate.This can be learned for pretty much any market,at least by me.After excursions in many different financial fields and markets i'm just most comfortable with the good old DAX.:)

Right before my Canadian neighbour asked me if i would recommend to go short.On a daytrading basis yes but the markets are still above some support lines which could still lead to fast short term recoveries of the markets.When the markets are closer to the support marks and will likely drop further then would be imo the time to prepare to go short for a longer period of time.:)

By the way it takes me every single day around 2 hours of just analysing charts in deep concentration to be the critical step ahead.:)
While i'm enjoying this like a hobby,not like work while the daily analyse the business would be for many others probably unbearable boring.That makes likely the difference.:)

The blues is playing again

The DAX during the pre-market:

As i worried yesterday in the afternoon market,Thyssen doesn't continue the little rally:

Pilots are unlearning to fly manually

Today in N-TV:
A video about the research of air traffic disasters:

The automation is getting some pilots in trouble when the flight stage comes to the necessity to fly the aircraft by hand.The research by a flight simulator is showing plenty of wrong decisions and a frightening lack of abilities who are according to the research responsible for 60% of the most recent 46 air traffic accidents.More frequent training flights are suggested at the end.

In fact,paragliding is as manually as it can gets.:)

Thyssen plan canceled

The predictability of the markets went downhill yesterday by first huge jumps like during the last sell-off.
The Xetra trading is closing 2 hours after Wall Street opening and i just was to much in doubt that the Americans are going to make it.Now after seeing yesterdays final quote of the Dow Jones-1% lower it just proved that dedication,rationality and experience is in stormy times hardly replaceable.In the whole crisis i did not loose a single cent and even archived to make the living costs in the market while others lost a lot.

My statement about the recent market mood and a laudatory reply of Mr.Markus Gaertner,a honestly impressive economy specialist and author for the German Manager Magazin:
Markus Gaertner-Weg war die Krise

The new Opera 11.51

The most recent version:

The Opera browser is just brilliant.

Opera 11.51 Download

The changes to the privious 11.50